Pre-tourney Rankings
Texas St.
Sun Belt
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.5#219
Expected Predictive Rating-4.1#227
Pace61.4#339
Improvement+3.9#35

Offense
Total Offense-3.7#270
First Shot-4.4#298
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#115
Layup/Dunks+1.1#116
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#50
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.4#344
Freethrows-0.7#229
Improvement+4.0#19

Defense
Total Defense+0.1#174
First Shot-0.6#195
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#98
Layups/Dunks-1.1#223
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#84
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#264
Freethrows+0.7#120
Improvement-0.1#194
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 21, 2015 222   @ UTEP L 62-77 39%     0 - 1 -15.6 -12.1 -3.5
  Nov 28, 2015 334   @ McNeese St. W 70-67 75%     1 - 1 -7.4 -12.5 +4.9
  Dec 02, 2015 339   Texas San Antonio W 76-53 89%     2 - 1 +6.3 -7.8 +13.9
  Dec 05, 2015 177   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 39-47 29%     2 - 2 -5.9 -24.6 +17.2
  Dec 13, 2015 347   UT Rio Grande Valley W 68-59 92%     3 - 2 -9.9 -10.9 +1.6
  Dec 16, 2015 335   @ Prairie View W 62-44 75%     4 - 2 +7.6 -11.9 +19.5
  Dec 18, 2015 169   @ Washington St. L 73-78 OT 29%     4 - 3 -2.6 -0.3 -2.2
  Dec 30, 2015 216   Georgia Southern W 80-66 61%     5 - 3 1 - 0 +7.7 +7.6 +0.9
  Jan 02, 2016 198   Georgia St. L 46-58 56%     5 - 4 1 - 1 -17.1 -17.1 -2.5
  Jan 09, 2016 260   @ Appalachian St. L 56-76 49%     5 - 5 1 - 2 -23.2 -19.2 -4.1
  Jan 14, 2016 265   @ South Alabama W 78-67 50%     6 - 5 2 - 2 +7.5 +10.1 -2.2
  Jan 16, 2016 285   @ Troy L 57-66 56%     6 - 6 2 - 3 -14.0 -13.1 -1.5
  Jan 21, 2016 77   Arkansas Little Rock L 74-77 OT 23%     6 - 7 2 - 4 +1.2 +1.8 -0.5
  Jan 23, 2016 257   Arkansas St. W 78-68 70%     7 - 7 3 - 4 +1.1 +10.3 -8.1
  Jan 28, 2016 126   @ Louisiana L 54-80 20%     7 - 8 3 - 5 -20.5 -14.4 -7.7
  Jan 30, 2016 139   @ Louisiana Monroe L 59-72 22%     7 - 9 3 - 6 -8.2 -4.4 -5.6
  Feb 04, 2016 198   @ Georgia St. L 56-59 34%     7 - 10 3 - 7 -2.3 -2.4 -0.5
  Feb 06, 2016 216   @ Georgia Southern L 62-66 38%     7 - 11 3 - 8 -4.5 -6.4 +1.6
  Feb 09, 2016 107   Texas Arlington L 53-65 31%     7 - 12 3 - 9 -10.5 -17.7 +7.1
  Feb 11, 2016 260   Appalachian St. W 69-68 70%     8 - 12 4 - 9 -8.1 -3.4 -4.6
  Feb 18, 2016 139   Louisiana Monroe L 57-76 41%     8 - 13 4 - 10 -20.1 -9.4 -13.2
  Feb 20, 2016 126   Louisiana W 61-57 38%     9 - 13 5 - 10 +3.7 -8.0 +12.1
  Feb 25, 2016 257   @ Arkansas St. W 71-60 48%     10 - 13 6 - 10 +7.9 -3.3 +11.1
  Feb 27, 2016 77   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 68-73 11%     10 - 14 6 - 11 +5.1 +10.1 -5.7
  Mar 01, 2016 107   @ Texas Arlington L 69-75 15%     10 - 15 6 - 12 +1.4 +0.2 +1.2
  Mar 03, 2016 285   Troy W 78-57 76%     11 - 15 7 - 12 +10.1 +5.9 +5.6
  Mar 05, 2016 265   South Alabama W 68-57 71%     12 - 15 8 - 12 +1.7 -6.5 +8.0
  Mar 10, 2016 198   Georgia St. W 63-61 45%     13 - 15 -0.2 +0.8 -0.7
  Mar 11, 2016 107   Texas Arlington L 63-72 22%     13 - 16 -4.6 -9.7 +5.6
Projected Record 13.0 - 16.0 8.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12 100.0% 100.0
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%